Brick & mortar recovery from the pandemic is well underway. Despite an initial hit to the sector and rise in e-commerce sales, physical stores are bouncing back. E-commerce has undoubtedly gained momentum in recent years, with an increasing percentage of total sales (excluding restaurants, motor vehicles and gasoline sales) of 19.6% in 2019, up from 9.6% in 2009, and up to a pandemic high of 25.5% in April 2020. Yet, e-commerce sales have retreated over the last 10 months and have begun going back to pre-pandemic levels. In December 2020, e-commerce sales had already dipped back to 21.3%, and the e-commerce share of sales is now only 2.0 percentage points above its trend since 2014. The brick & mortar retail industry has returned.
Brand leaders in the brick & mortar retail industry are naturally optimistic looking ahead, including to the critical holiday season around the corner. With consumer spending highly concentrated between November and January, developing a strategy for engaging consumers, fostering an impactful customer experience, and maximizing sales will be critical to driving revenue and recovery from the last year and half. And consumer spending is set to soar. On top of the $1.19 trillion spent in US retail sales between November 2020 and January 2021, Deloitte is forecasting a 7% to 9% increase in sales this year over the same holiday period last year due to increasing vaccination rates and continued strong savings from over the pandemic that will support consumer spending and keep retail sales elevated.
The three days predicted to be the busiest for the upcoming holiday season in the U.S. will be Black Friday (November 26), Super Saturday (December 18) and the Thursday before Christmas (December 23). At the same time, many consumers may start their shopping earlier to offset inventory limitations, shipping delays and ongoing concerns about social distancing. Which means retailers looking to maximize store performance going into the busiest shopping season of the year need to plan now to optimize their retail operations.
While consumer behaviour continues to evolve with recovery, recent Forrester research has shown a split in time spent in store – “six in 10 ‘Thrifty’ consumers, who perceive minimal risk to their physical well-being and are driven by cost savings, are spending more time shopping in stores, while ‘Cocooned’ consumers, who wield their wallets to protect their physical exposure, are spending less time in stores. 64% of “Cocooned” consumers are trying to avoid stores altogether.” That split makes a targeted holiday strategy even more critical.
When building out a holiday strategy for 2021, retailers should focus on four foundational elements to optimize their stores and strengthen performance:
The brick & mortar industry has proven to be resilient, and the future looks bright. With retail sales expected to grow year-over-year by a sizeable amount in 2021, brick & mortar retailers have reason to be optimistic. Yet, they need to start preparing now to optimize stores, and develop a foundational strategy that reflects a still fluctuating consumer economy and ever evolving consumer behaviour trends. With a focus on retail data and retail analytics, localized strategy, workforce management, and finding operational and resource efficiencies, OR makes it easy for brick & mortar retailers to maximize opportunities and revenue this holiday season.
Now is the time to optimize retail operations and do more with OR.